Sunday, March 4, 2007

Searched for "Blogs Will Fade Away

Searched for "blogs will fade away
Got some interesting stuff:

- - - 2003 > 2005
Blogs will fade away
by Don Park at 2003/07/12 10:47:41
I woke up yesterday with these thought.
Blogs will fade away within two years. What we know now as blogs will not be recognized by web users of tommorrow, not as blogs, but as websites. Website technologies and blogging technologies will converge into one. People take it for granted that webpages can be edited using their browser. People will also take it for granted that any webpages can be subscribed to with a single-click. Web browsers will be changed to support all this and more like highlighting of changes.

Dave Winer at 2003/07/12 05:59:45 PM
Agree one hundred percent. That is UserLand's bet. That's why both Radio and Manila are complete CMS's and do so much more than weblogs.

- - - 2000 < 2003 > 2008/2013
Don Park says that blogs will fade away within two years. Heh. Rich Levin told me exactly the same thing three years ago. Sorry, you're off by quite a bit. They won't fade away for at least five, and maybe 10 years.

- - - 2006 > 2011
Today the Blogometer talks to milblogger Bill Roggio, who writes The Fourth Rail and previously contributed to Winds of Change and ThreatsWatch. He was also the subject of a 12/26 Washington Post article about his blogging from Iraq.

How do you see the new media and old media affecting and influencing each other in the next five years?

There is certainly a lot of hostility between the two parties. I feel that both parties have much to offer each other, and there will be some form of intersection between the two groups. The good blogs are focused and provided a unique perspective, expert analysis and unique content often missing from the media sites. The old media has a vast amount of resources bloggers can only dream of having. The more creative news and media organizations are starting their own blogs and some are even inviting outside bloggers to join. I believe there will be further a co-opting of blogs and integration of blogs into the media websites. But many blogs will continue to scorn the media, and vise versa. I do not believe the blogs will overtake the media, or the media will collapse, or the blogs will fade away.

- - - 2006
Dagres made a provocative statement: “…the combined cash flow of Spot Runner, LinkedIn and Facebook is less that that of one Costco store.”
If Web 2.0 companies can’t deliver more than eyeballs — if they can’t deliver the cash — then it’s all just a bubble waiting to burst.